What to watch for in 2012: messages, scapegoats and battleground states

06/21/2011 10:34 PM

Watch for President Barack Obama to go back to the well of pinning blame on his predecessor — George W. Bush — during Obama’s run for a second term, said Washington Post reporter Perry Bacon, a Louisville native and Yale graduate.

“I think it actually is going to help in some ways. There was a poll up in the Wall Street Journal … that showed about half of Americans still say Obama inherited the economic problems as opposed to cause them,” Bacon said. (see the :45 mark of the clip)

Kentucky will not be a state that factors into presidential campaigns because Obama is so unpoplular here, Bacon said. Meanwhile, Republicans say they hope to win several states Obama carried in 2008.

“Essentially there are nine states that Bush won in 2004 that Obama won in 2008. And whoever does better in those states will be a winner this time as well,” Bacon said. (see the 6:00 mark of the clip)

Bacon said as long as the economy is still in the doldrums, more traditional Republican candidates, such as Mitt Romney benefit. Bacon said at this point, with his name recognition and fundraising start, Romney is the clear frontrunner for the GOP nomination.

“The Republicans do tend to vote in order. You know, if you lose once, you have a better chance versus a Democratic primary,” Bacon said. But Bacon said former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty’s categorization of the health care plan passed in Massachusetts on Romney’s watch of “Obamneycare,” was a little overdone.

“Romney will have to sustain a lot of attacks if he’s going to win this thing.” (see the 3:30 mark of the clip)


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