Rasmussen poll indicates Paul leads Conway by 8 points

06/02/2010 09:49 PM

(UPDATED WITH VIDEO) This morning Rasmussen Reports released the results of a poll conducted June 1 on Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race that show Rand Paul leading Jack Conway by 8 percentage points, 49 percent to 41 percent. In a release about the poll, Rasmussen Reports said:

Just after his big Republican Primary win last month, Rand Paul led his Democratic opponent Jack Conway by 25 points in Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race. Now Paul’s lead is down to just eight points.

Now, however, Paul holds a much smaller advantage. The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey finds the GOP nominee with support from 49% of the state’s voters while Conway earns 41% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

Almost all candidates receive a bounce following a big victory and Paul clearly lost his post-primary bounce. But he added to the decline by quickly stumbling out of the gate in an interview on MSNBC. During the interview, he discussed reasons for opposing the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and was immediately hit with charges of racism. Seventy-three percent (73%) of Kentucky voters say they have followed news reports about his comments on MSNBC, including 39% who have followed Very Closely.

Conway told reporters Wednesday that he thought “push-button polls,” or automated polls rather than surveys with live interviewers, might not accurately reflect the true mood of the electorate. He said he thought there were more undecided voters out there — 15-to-18 percent, for instance — not the six percent reflected in the Rassmussen poll.

Here’s the video:

(UPDATED 9:49 p.m.) A look at the crosstabs on this poll shows Paul leading among men 58 to 36 and Conway favored by women, 46-41.

Conway’s favorable rating remains lower than Paul’s, according to those detailed results. About 47 percent said they liked Conway while 43 percent said they had an unfavorable view of him and 11 percent weren’t sure.

About 57 percent of respondents said they had a favorable or very favorable view of Paul compared to 38 percent who didn’t. Just 5 percent said they were unsure, further suggesting many Kentuckians have made up their mind about him.

- Video produced by Don Weber


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