Prominent N.Ky. Democrats who passed on running for Congress wish Adkins well in "tough" district

06/01/2012 08:13 AM

Many prominent Northern Kentucky Democrats passed on running for the open 4th District seat for Congress, essentially conceding that the district was too conservative to win.

That leaves Bill Adkins, the Democratic nominee and a lawyer from Williamstown, to carry that party’s banner in the general election against Thomas Massie, the Lewis County judge-executive who won a seven-candidate GOP primary last week.

“If you look at the history of the 4th Congressional District, it’s always been dominated by very conservative individuals. Even our Ken Lucas was a conservative,” said Democratic state Rep. Arnold Simpson of Covington. “It’s really a Republican seat — that’s how it’s eyed by so many people.”

And Simpson said that was only “heightened” by the redrawing of the congressional district map. For instance, by shedding Democratic-leaning counties in the eastern part of the district and picking up Shelby County, northern Spencer County and Eastern Jefferson County, the district became a more Republican performing district by 1.3 points, according to a Pure Politics analysis.

Former Democratic 4th District Congressman Ken Lucas, who served from 1999 through 2004, also told Pure Politics’ Ryan Alessi in April that he didn’t believe Democrats could win the 4th District as it’s been drawn now.

On the bright side for Democrats, Republicans are still coming off that tough primary fight, in which Massie defeated state Rep. Alecia Webb-Edgington and Boone County Judge-Executive Gary Moore as well as four other candidates. And it’s unclear whether all of Moore and Webb-Edgington’s supporters will get on Massie’s bandwagon.


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