Paul extends lead to more than 7 points in U.S. Senate race, cn|2 poll finds

10/28/2010 06:51 PM

Support for Republican U.S. Senate candidate Rand Paul went up three points, widening his lead over Democrat Jack Conway to 7.5 points, according to the latest cn|2 Poll.

The poll, which comes just five days until the Nov. 2 election, shows that Paul leads Conway 46.5% to 39%, with about 13% undecided.

The latest cn|2 poll, taken Oct. 25-27 by Braun Research of Princeton, N.J., surveyed 800 likely voters and has a margin of error of 3.5 points. Click here to download the details and crosstabs of the statewide survey.

Paul’s numbers went up three points from theĀ previous cn|2 poll taken three weeks ago.

In a statement, Paul campaign spokesman Gary Howard said Paul is pleased with the poll results.

“Dr. Paul is encouraged to see the continued support for his campaign,” Howard said. “The people of Kentucky have seen through the smears and attacks of the other side, and are responding positively to his message of term limits, balanced budgets, and opposition to the job-destroying policies of the Obama Administration.”

Conway campaign spokesman John Collins said the poll shows Paul can’t close the door on Conway, who claims on the stump that the race is a dead heat.

“A week before the election, Jack Conway is well-positioned to win this race,” Collins said in a statement. “Rand Paul can’t close the deal because Kentucky voters know he doesn’t share their values. Rand believes Kentuckians should pay a 23 percent sales tax on everything they buy. Rand believes seniors should pay a $2,000 Medicare deductible. Those aren’t options for Kentucky families, and they’ll never be options for Jack Conway.”

The breakdown, by Congressional Districts:

  • 1st District: Paul 55, Conway 31
  • 2nd District: Paul 45, Conway 33, 20 percent undecided
  • 3rd District: Conway 54, Paul 39
  • 4th District: Paul 57, Conway 32
  • 5th District: Conway 39, Paul 37, 23 percent undecided
  • 6th District Paul 47, Conway 42

The poll also shows that both candidates have similar favorable/unfavorable ratings. Conway has a 47 percent favorable rating, compared with 41 percent unfavorable. Paul has a 48 percent favorable rating, with 43 percent unfavorable.

The poll also found that a majority of Kentuckians have a favorable opinion of the tea party movement and disapprove of the job President Barack Obama is doing. About 50 percent would like to see Republicans in control of Congress.

A SurveyUSA poll for WHAS11 and the Louisville Courier-Journal was also released tonight and showed Paul with a nine point lead over Conway.


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