Latest polling in U.S. Senate race shows early lead for Rand Paul

08/04/2016 03:55 PM

UPDATED: U.S. Sen. Rand Paul is showing a 12-point lead on Democratic challenger Jim Gray, according to a recent poll conducted by Harper Polling for RunSwitch PR.

The survey conducted by RunSwitch PR in conjunction with conservative polling firm Harper Polling, shows Paul, R-Bowling Green, with a healthy lead on Gray heading into the final 95 days of the campaign.

In the head-to-head contest, Paul gets 50 percent in the survey to Gray’s 38 percent of the 500 registered voters polled between July 31 and Aug. 1. The survey has a margin of error of 4.4 percent, according to a polling memo.

Thirteen percent of those polled said they were undecided between the two candidates. The PR firm did not poll the candidate’s favorable ratings.

“With a nearly perfect vote attendance record in the Senate and a long list of accomplishments on behalf of the Commonwealth, Dr. Rand Paul has a strong record of always standing for Kentucky, and Kentuckians know that,” Paul’s campaign spokesperson Kelsey Cooper told Pure Politics in response to the survey.

Gray’s campaign spokesperson Cathy Lindsey said the poll “was conducted by Republicans for Republicans and we – along with expert pollsters and commentators like Huffpollster – don’t put much stock in it.”

“Using only landlines and excluding the half of the state that only has cell phones casts serious doubt on this “poll,” Lindsey said in a statement. “The fact is this race is much closer than they want to admit.

“Rand Paul is on the verge of losing his seat and he knows it, which is why Washington Republicans are now trying to come to his rescue and pushing bogus polls,” she continued. “We look forward to helping Kentuckians get to know Jim and his plan to help our state. And we look forward to helping presidential wannabe Rand Paul achieve his goal of getting out of the United States Senate.”

The polling is a departure from the other public polling conducted in the state. In June, the Cofounder Pulse Poll found Paul had a 1-point lead in a split 26.4 percent to 25.4 percent split with Gray, with 48 percent of respondents undecided.

Presidential polling

RunSwitch also polled the race for president in Kentucky and found GOP nominee Donald Trump holds a 13-point lead over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein polled in the single digits with 5 percent and 2 percent, respectively.

The survey found that 7 percent of the 500 Kentuckians polled are undecided in the presidential contest.

Trump also outranks Clinton in favorability in the survey, with 54 percent of respondents ranking him favorable compared to Clinton’s 44 percent.

Nick Storm

Nick Storm is the Anchor and Managing Editor of Pure Politics available exclusively on Spectrum News. Pure Politics is the only nightly program dedicated to Kentucky politics. Nick covers all of the political heavyweights and his investigative work brings to light issues that might otherwise go unnoticed, like his coverage of the backlog of DNA rape kits waiting to be tested in Kentucky. Nick is also working on a feature length bio documentary Outlaw Poet: A documentary on Ron Whitehead. Pure Politics airs weeknight at 7 and 11:30 on Spectrum News. Follow Nick on Twitter @NStorm_Politics. Nick can be reached at 502-792-1107 or


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