From 'Pure Politics': Rand Paul leads Jack Conway by 4 in cn|2 Poll

10/08/2010 07:15 PM

After six weeks of the ad war in the U.S. Senate race, Republican Rand Paul holds a 4-point lead over Democratic candidate Jack Conway, according to the latest cn|2 Poll.

Paul received support from 43.4% of respondents compared to 39.5% for Conway with 16.6% still undecided. The poll of 826 likely voters was conducted by live interviewers by Braun Research Inc. between Oct. 4 and 6 and has a margin of error of 3.5 points. Click here to view the statewide poll’s details and crosstabs.

It’s the first statewide cn|2 Poll since Sept. 1 when Paul showed a 5-point lead.

Here’s our recap of what’s happened in the Senate race between the two polls from Pure Politics:

Here’s how the race looks in each congressional district, according to the poll:

  • 1st District: Paul 41% to Conway 36%
  • 2nd District: Paul 47% to Conway 38%
  • 3rd District: Conway 55% to Paul 33%
  • 4th District: Paul 38% to Conway 25%
  • 5th District: Conway 44% to Paul 38%
  • 6th District: Paul 49% to Conway 37%

Other key findings of the poll:

  • Respondents still prefer Republicans to control Congress by about 10 points.
  • President Barack Obama’s approval rating is at a low of 37.4% while more than 60% disapprove of the job he’s doing.
  • 20% of respondents still don’t have an opinion of Conway, while nearly 16% of respondents don’t have an opinion about Paul yet.

Both campaigns released statements in response to the poll. Here’s the one from Paul’s campaign:

Kentuckians are fed up with this unsustainable debt and spending; they oppose job-killing schemes like Cap and Trade and want Obamacare repealed. These are the issues that continue to drive Dr. Paul to solid leads in all credible polls.

And Conway’s campaign released this comment:

This news again shows the race is a dead heat, and that Jack Conway is well-positioned to be Kentucky’s next Senator. Kentuckians aren’t fooled by the misleading attacks funded by Karl Rove and foreign donors. Instead, the more they learn that Rand Paul believes drugs aren’t a pressing issue and that Kentucky seniors should pay a $2,000 Medicare deductible, the more they understand Rand doesn’t share Kentucky values.

- Ryan Alessi


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