Gap closes in 6th District -- Chandler leads Barr by 4 points, cn|2 Poll shows

10/25/2010 07:04 PM

After leading the last two months by 14 points, Democratic U.S. Rep. Ben Chandler is clinging to a four-point lead — within the margin of error — over Republican challenger Andy Barr, the latest cn|2 Poll shows.

The results of the poll, taken Oct. 20 and 21, confirm the pundits’ designations of the race as a toss up. Both the Cook Report and New York Times have recently classified it as anyone’s contest.1“ src=“×225.jpg” alt=”“ width=“300” height=“225” />

The poll shows ┬áChandler with 46.6% of respondents’ support compared to 42.3% for Barr with more than 10% undecided.

The survey of 525 likely Kentucky voters was conducted by live interviewers from Braun Research Inc. of Princeton, N.J. It has a margin of error of 4.3 points. Click here to view the details and crosstabs.

The poll matches results from an Oct. 15-19 Mason-Dixon poll taken for the Lexington Herald-Leader and WKYT-TV.

But the poll shows Barr picking up support and Chandler losing some from a Sept. 20-21 cn|2 Poll.

Here are the candidates’ reactions as reported on Pure Politics Monday night:

Chandler, in the September poll, cracked the 50% threshold and led 50.7% to Barr’s 36.5%.

But the advertising in the race has been intense and at times fiercely negative.

Chandler’s favorability rating remained steady in the low 60%-range from September to this latest survey. But slightly more people had an unfavorable opinion of him than a month ago.

As more people became familiar with Barr, his favorability rating went up about six points but his unfavorability also slightly increased.

Another change from September is that Chandler led in 13 of the 6th District’s 16 counties. In this latest poll, the counties are split evenly between the two candidates.

The National Republican Congressional Committee has targeted Chandler, partially because he is one of about 40 Democrats who represent districts that voted for Republican presidential candidate John McCain over Barack Obama in 2008.

Both the NRCC and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee have spent heavily in the race.

- Ryan Alessi


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