cn|2 Poll: Yarmuth keeps 23-point lead in 3rd congressional district

09/22/2010 07:07 PM

LOUISVILLE — Democratic U.S. Rep. John Yarmuth of Louisville has maintained a 23-point advantage over Republican challenger Todd Lally from the last cn|2 Poll of likely Louisville voters taken in mid-August.

If the election were held today, Yarmuth would get nearly 53% of the vote, compared to 30% for Lally. About 12% said they are undecided. Independent candidate Michael Hansen received 4.5% and Libertarian candidate Ed Martin garnered slightly less than a point.

The survey of 500 likely voters was conducted Sept. 20 and 21 by live interviewers from Braun Research, Inc. of Princeton, N.J. It has a margin of error of 4.4 points. Click here to see the details and crosstabs.

A cn|2 Poll in Louisville conducted Aug. 9-10 had the race in a similar state: Yarmuth had 52.1% compared to Lally at 28.9% and 17% undecided.

But a SurveyUSA poll for the Courier-Journal and WHAS-11 released Sept. 1 showed the race in a dead heat, with Yarmuth at 47 percent and Lally at 45 percent.

Yarmuth, in a brief interview via Skype from for today’s Pure Politics program, said he didn’t agree with the methodology of the SurveyUSA poll. Yarmuth, who is in Washington for the fall session of Congress, conducted the brief interview from the offices of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

Lally’s campaign didn’t offer a response after repeated requests.

Here’s the full story from Pure Politics:

Other findings from the cn|2 Poll in Louisville/Jefferson County:

  • In the U.S. Senate race, 50.6% of the likely Louisville voters polled picked Democratic candidate Jack Conway compared to 39.2% who said they’d vote for Republican Rand Paul. Another 10.2% were undecided.
  • Yarmuth has an approval rating of 62.5%. A total of 33% disapprove of the job he’s doing in Congress. That’s largely the same from the 61.7% approval rating in the Aug. 12-13 poll.
  • President Barack Obama has a 57.6% approval rating and a 41.4% disapproval rating.
  • 50.8% said they would rather see Democrats in control of Congress after November’s election, compared to 38.9% who said Republicans and 4.9% who said neither. Another 5.1% were undecided.

- Ryan Alessi

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