cn|2 Poll: Tracking Lexington voters' views on federal races

08/27/2010 06:42 AM

Democrats Jack Conway, who is running for U.S. Senate, and U.S. Rep. Ben Chandler, who is seeking re-election in the 6th District, both start the fall with leads among likely voters in Fayette County, the second largest county in Kentucky, the cn|2 Poll shows.

But in the generic ballot question of whether respondents would rather see the Democrats or Republicans in control of Congress after theNovember elections, the 503 likely voters surveyed were split.  About 44% said Democrats and 42% picked Republicans.

The respondents were just as divided regarding their opinions of President Barack Obama. Nearly 52% said they approved of the job Obama was doing while 47% said they disapproved of his performance. Still, Fayette County is one of the few places in Kentucky where Obama has a higher approval rating than disapproval.  Statewide cn|2 Polls have showed Obama’s approval rating at around 41%. Louisville is Obama’s strongest area, as the cn|2 Poll from Aug. 9-10 in Jefferson County showed 56% of likely voters there like the job he is doing while 43% disapprove.

The cn|2 Poll in Fayette County, conducted Aug. 23-24, was aimed at seeing where voters stand on the Lexington mayor’s race. But in addition to asking about that, the poll tested where voters stand on those federal issues and races. Click here for the results of the Fayette County poll on federal ballot questions and issues.

In the 6th congressional district, Chandler is seeking his fourth full term against Republican challenger Andy Barr. Chandler has been running ads on TV since Aug. 10, while Barr just began airing his first commercial Wednesday after the poll was completed.

Here’s where that race stands in Fayette County:

  • 51.4% Chandler
  • 38.2% Barr
  • 10.3% Undecided

Fayette County is the most populous of the 16 counties in the 6th District. Voters from there usually represent about 40% of the total turnout for that district.

The cn|2 Poll of the 6th District last month showed that Chandler led Barr 46% to 32%.

In the U.S. Senate race, Conway has a single-digit lead in Fayette County over Republican candidate Rand Paul. Fayette County was one of the areas where Conway performed best in the May 18 Democratic primary against Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo, and Democrats are banking on him repeating that success in November if Conway has any shot of winning the race. But even with an 8-point lead, Conway still doesn’t have more than 50% of the vote locked up and nearly 14% of respondents said they haven’t made up their minds yet. Here’s what that stands:

  • 46.8% Conway
  • 38.8% Paul
  • 13.6% unsure

The most recent statewide cn|2 Poll from last week showed the race in a dead heat with Conway at 41.7% and Paul at 41.2%.

- Ryan Alessi


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