cn|2 Poll: Chandler leads Barr by 14 points

09/24/2010 07:07 PM

Democratic U.S. Rep. Ben Chandler cracked the 50% mark and leads Republican challenger Andy Barr by 14 points, according to results of the latest cn|2 Poll on the 6th Congressional District race.

Another 12.5% of respondents said they are still undecided.

Chandler has roughly the same advantage that he had in the first cn|2 Poll of the 6th Congressional District from July.

This latest survey of 508 likely voters in the 6th District’s 16 counties was taken Sept. 21 and 22 by live interviewers from Braun Research, Inc., of Princeton, N.J. It has a margin of error of 4.4 points. Click here to view the details.

Both campaigns issued statements in response to the poll. We reported those responses as part of our coverage of the poll on Friday’s Pure Politics:

The cn|2 Poll also tested the effects of recent ads. Here are the results on the question about the National Republican Congressional Committee’s recent commercial:

Q. A Republican group’s ad says Ben Chandler votes 94% of the time with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Does that make you:
  • More likely to vote for Ben Chandler? (13.3%)
  • Less likely to vote for Ben Chandler? (38.0%)
  • No effect (46.1%)

Here are the results on the ad Chandler has been airing about Barr:

Q. Ben Chandler’s ad says that the agency Andy Barr worked for during Governor Ernie Fletcher’s administration was called “a corrupt political machine” by prosecutors during the state hiring investigation. Does that make you:
  • More likely to vote for Andy Barr? (6.7%)
  • Less likely to vote for Andy Barr? (30.5%)
  • No effect (58.1%)

I also spoke with Al Cross, former Courier-Journal political writer and current director of the Institute for Rural Journalism and Community Issues, to break down the poll results. We’ll post his full analysis next week.

Other key results from the poll:

  • Chandler leads Barr among moderates, 54% to 28%
  • Chandler has a net favorable rating of 61.1% and unfavorable rating of 32.7%
  • Barr has a net favorable rating of 43.8% and unfavorable rating of 31.1%
  • President Barack Obama has a net approval rating of 48.9% in the 6th District, which is about 10 points higher than his approval ratings across Kentucky.
  • Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Jack Conway leads Republican candidate Rand Paul, 46.7% to 41.1% in the 6th Congressional District. Nearly 12% are undecided.
  • 42.4% want to see Democrats retain control in Congress compared to to 40.9% who want to see Republicans take over.
  • The poll surveyed 56.9% Democrats, 37% Republicans and 6% of voters who are registered as something else. But when they were asked “regardless of what you are registered as, do you think of yourself as closer to the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?” the results were split: 46.3% said Democratic Party and 46.1% said Republican Party.

- Ryan Alessi

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