Barr down by five points to Chandler in new internal poll

07/09/2012 02:38 PM

A new survey from 6th Congressional candidate Andy Barr’s campaign shows Barr in a holding pattern from June and Chandler losing ground with some voters.

The election campaign for Republican Congressional hopeful Andy Barr is touting an internal poll from June showing that Democratic Congressman Ben Chandler has lost favor with some Kentucky voters.

A survey of 400 likely voters in the 6th Congressional District taken between June 24 and 26, had Chandler at 49 percent compared to 42 percent for Barr, a Lexington lawyer. Barr lost to Chandler by 648 votes two years ago.

The poll has a margin of error of 4.9 points, according to the memo. The Barr campaign received that memo from its polling firm, Public Opinion Strategies, on July 9th.

Barr’s campaign released the polling memo showing Chandler up by five points but still below the crucial 50 percent mark. Barr remains at 42 percent from February to June. Chandler went from 49 percent in February to 47 percent in June.

The partisan breakdown of the survey of 400 likely voters was 33 percent Republican and 59 pecent Democratic, in an attempt to match the registration statistics of the district, according to the memo.

“Further, when voters are asked if Ben Chandler has performed his job as Congressman well enough to deserve reelection or if they think it’s time to give a new person a chance, a majority (51%) say they would support a new person, while just 41% say Chandler deserves re-election,” the memo says.

Barr’s poll showed that the new 6th District doesn’t favor Obama in the presidential election.

“Mitt Romney has moved over 50% and maintains his lead over President Obama. Over the past few months, Governor Romney has kept his eight point lead over the President, illustrating the challenge Ben Chandler faces with Obama on the top of the Democratic ticket,” the memo for Barr says.

About Nick Storm

Nick Storm joined cn|2 in December 2011 as a reporter for Pure Politics. Throughout his career, Nick has covered several big political stories up close, including interviewing President Barack Obama on the campaign trail back in 2008. Nick says he loves being at the forefront of Kentucky politics and working with the brightest journalists in the commonwealth. Follow Nick on Twitter @Nick_Storm. Nick can be reached at 502-792-1107 or nicholas.storm@twcnews.com.

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Comments

  • Bruce Layne wrote on July 10, 2012 10:44 AM :

    There is a reason that Andy Barr is stuck at a partisan 42% and can gain no traction in this race, and it certainly isn’t that Ben Chandler has been doing a great job representing the people of central Kentucky, because he hasn’t. Despite his incumbent advantage, Ben Chandler is about as appealing to Kentucky voters as Al Gore. He’s a weak candidate.

    Contrast Andy’s lackluster electoral performance with the meteoric success of Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s 4th congressional district. What does Thomas have that Andy doesn’t? Thomas has the strong and vocal support of the TEA Party and liberty grassroots activists. Andy has tried to say the right things to garner that support, but (unlike a lot of politicians) Andy is limited in what he can say when it doesn’t correspond to what he believes. Politically, Andy is somewhere between weak TEA and no TEA.

    The simple fact is, voters aren’t excited by the notion of replacing one career politician with another. If the only substantive difference between the two big government candidates is that one has an R by his name, well, that’s just not enough in a district composed of mostly Democrats.

  • Robby Perez wrote on July 10, 2012 12:10 PM :

    God knows Chandler has come down on something unpopular. Maybe the race should be about Obama’s crony, Ben Chandler…

    But Thomas won because of his liberty supporters, not tea party supporters. It didn’t hurt that his two main opponents were big government, RINOs though

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