Is Dakari Johnson the second-best UK player in the NBA Draft?
06/22/2015 05:48 PM
BROOKLYN, NY — Karl-Anthony Towns is the current favorite to be the Minnesota Timberwolves’ No. 1 overall pick when the 2015 NBA Draft tips off in the Big Apple on Thursday night.
But after Towns, who’s the second-safest pick of the remaining six Kentucky players?
The staff at FiveThirtyEight.com says it’s none other than Dakari Johnson.
ESPN’s statistical analysis website combined physical attributes with collegiate box scores to grade the top 50 players available in the upcoming draft, determining the likelihood of each prospect becoming either a star, starter, role player, or bust in the NBA.
The calculations crowned Towns as the best-bet prospect with a 13.5% of becoming a star — higher than any other player. But just five spots below him was Johnson at No. 6 — ahead of fellow former Cats Willie Cauley-Stein, Devin Booker, Trey Lyles, and both Harrison twins.
Despite having a mere 2% chance of being star, Johnson registered the highest probability of becoming a reliable role player (41.8%) and lowest chance of being an outright bust (19.4%) of the seven Kentucky draft prospects — boosting his draft day appeal.
Regardless of stats or where Dakari and the other Cats are selected on Thursday night, only time will determine which players really were the “best picks” in the 2015 draft.
KSTV discussed the calculations and Dakari’s NBA potential on Monday’s show, explaining that much of the “boom or bust” equation depends on each player’s individual expectations upon entering the league.